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I would expect 10.8 to drop Carbon and thus 32-bit apps completely.
That's assuming Apple can actually make all their own apps 64-bit and Cocoa which they've been promising for years now.
Either way, I'm pretty sure we'll know well in advance when Carbon is going to die as that impacts far more developers than ancient PowerPC programs. No one actively builds solely for PowerPC any more and look st the drama it caused. If Apple just unilaterally ended Carbon support without enough warning to the major dev houses, it would be chaotic.