Backups take the same amount of time on both my Seagate Backup Plus for Mac & my LaCie drive. Both drives have nearly 400 GB free.
Regarding Elapsed Times:
All backups have sporadic, bursting data flows.
During the backups, the amount of time the sliding gauge displays data being written is no more than 4 minutes. That's 4 minutes out of an hour. That is, once the items have been "counted" and "prepared," during the remaining one-hour, the drive appears to be writing data for only about 4 minutes.
The vast amount of backup time is spent with no significant change displayed in the amount of data written to the hard drive.
There is the appearance that the system and drive are organizing data on the hard drive or to be written to the hard drive.
I am using the USB 2 cables that came with each drive. These used to provide data flow for backups that took only about 6 minutes.
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Regarding Item Count:
Until several weeks ago, the item count was approximately 7,000. It had been that size for several months. Suddenly, in recent weeks, the item count has increased to approximately 18,000.
No new systems, programs, or functions have been added or changed on this Mac during the last 3-1/2 years. That is, since Parallels & Windows were installed.
In Parallels, the box is checked telling TM to not backup its files.
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Regarding The Immediate Changes Detected By TM:
TM claims in its description to do backups every hour.
It seems strange that TM could promise to take hourly backups when it takes nearly 1-1/4 hour to perform a backup on a Mac that it just finished backing up 2 minutes before, and which had no user interaction.
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A question about your point: "I'm assuming TM is being directed to only back up the home folder for this account."
Since it is my desire here to not waste anyone's time, I want to ask about this comment. Perhaps I am doing something wrong that is causing my -- and now our -- problem.
How do I know that I am directing TM to backup only the home folder?
I have excluded anything to do with Parallels & Windows using the Option control on TM. I believe it is backing up only my user files. But how would I know?
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Thank you.